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Population Projections by Age

Population projections for Worcestershire county by 5-year age group are presented below:

Population Projections for Worcestershire 2011-21 (Thousands)

Population Projections for Worcestershire 2011-21 (Thousands)

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2021

0-4

31.1

31.8

32.5

33.2

33.9

34.3

32.8

5-9

30.1

30.7

31.3

31.6

31.7

32.1

35.3

10-14

32.3

31.4

30.6

30.4

30.4

30.7

32.9

15-19

34.6

33.5

32.9

32.2

31.7

30.9

29.6

20-24

30.9

31.5

31.2

30.7

29.7

28.9

26.4

25-29

30.8

31.1

31.4

32.1

33.0

33.8

32.7

30-34

30.9

31.5

32.3

32.5

32.6

32.7

35.5

35-39

35.0

33.3

32.2

31.8

32.1

32.7

34.6

40-44

42.1

41.3

40.3

39.0

37.6

35.9

33.8

45-49

43.0

43.5

43.4

43.2

42.7

42.4

36.2

50-54

38.3

39.3

40.3

41.3

42.3

43.0

42.4

55-59

36.7

36.6

36.6

36.8

37.4

38.0

42.9

60-64

40.6

38.7

37.6

36.8

36.1

35.8

37.4

65-69

33.7

36.6

38.2

38.7

39.1

39.1

34.7

70-74

25.5

26.0

27.0

28.6

30.1

31.7

36.9

75-79

20.4

20.9

21.7

22.3

22.8

23.0

28.8

80-84

15.4

15.8

16.0

16.3

16.5

16.9

19.4

85-89

9.8

9.9

10.1

10.2

10.6

10.9

12.6

90+

5.2

5.7

6.1

6.4

6.7

7.0

8.9

All ages

566.6

569.0

571.6

574.3

577.0

579.8

593.8

Source - ONS 2011-based trend-based population projections
  • The population of Worcestershire is projected to increase from 566,600 in 2011 to 579,800 in 2016, an increase of 13,300.
  • The projected population by 2021 is 593,800, a projected rise of 27,300, slightly less than 5% on 2011 levels.
  • Significant projected gains are especially prevalent in the 65-plus age groups. Smaller gains across the time-period are projected to be in the 25-34 and 50-59 age ranges.
  • Projected losses are notable in the 15-24 and 40-49 age groups.

 

Broad Age Group Projection for Worcestershire (thousands)

Broad Age Group Projection for Worcestershire (thousands)
 

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2021

0-17

114.7

114.7

115.1

115.4

115.7

116.1

120.1

18-64

341.7

339.4

337.6

336.3

335.5

335.1

332.3

65-plus

110.2

114.9

118.9

122.6

125.8

128.7

141.4

All Ages

566.6

569.0

571.6

574.3

577.0

579.8

593.8

Source - ONS 2011-based trend-based population projections
 
  • The 0-17 age group in Worcestershire is projected to increase between now and 2021. By 2021 the number of 0-17 year olds in Worcestershire is projected to be just over 120,000, a rise of 5,500 (almost 5%) on 2011 levels.
  • The 65+ age group is projected to increase by over 31,000 (over 28%) between 2011 and 2021.

  • In contrast, the number of people aged 18-64 has a projected decline of almost 9,500 between 2011 and 2021, representing a fall of almost 3%.

Critical Age Group Projection for Worcestershire (Thousands)

 
Critical Age Group Projection for Worcestershire (Thousands)
 

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2021

0-4

31.1

31.8

32.5

33.2

33.9

34.3

32.8

5-15

69.3

69.0

68.7

68.5

68.5

68.9

74.6

18-24

44.4

44.2

43.5

42.7

41.8

40.8

36.9

75-plus

8.9

9.3

9.6

10.0

10.2

10.5

13.2

85-plus

2.6

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.8

All Ages

566.6

569.0

571.6

574.3

577.0

579.8

593.8

Source - ONS 2011-based trend-based population projections
  • The number of children aged 0-4 is projected to increase from 31,100 in 2011 to 32,800 in 2021, an rise of just over 5%.
  • The 5-15 age group is projected to increase from 69,300 in 2011 to 74,600 in 2021, representing an increase of almost 8%.
  • The 18-24 age group is projected to decline from 44,400 in 2011 to stand at around 36,900 in 2021, a decrease of 7,600 or just over 17%.
  • In contrast, the 75-plus and 85-plus age groups are both projected significant increases over the 2011-21 period, with the 75-plus age group having a projected increase of 4,300 persons (48%), and the 85-plus age group a projected increase of 1,300 (49%).
  •  

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This page was last reviewed 24 May 2013 at 17:43.
The page is next due for review 20 November 2014.