Population Projections by Age

Population projections for Worcestershire county by 5-year age group are presented below:

Population Projections for Worcestershire 2011-21 (Thousands)

Population Projections for Worcestershire 2011-21 (Thousands)

	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2021
0-4	31.1	31.8	32.5	33.2	33.9	34.3	32.8
5-9	30.1	30.7	31.3	31.6	31.7	32.1	35.3
10-14	32.3	31.4	30.6	30.4	30.4	30.7	32.9
15-19	34.6	33.5	32.9	32.2	31.7	30.9	29.6
20-24	30.9	31.5	31.2	30.7	29.7	28.9	26.4
25-29	30.8	31.1	31.4	32.1	33.0	33.8	32.7
30-34	30.9	31.5	32.3	32.5	32.6	32.7	35.5
35-39	35.0	33.3	32.2	31.8	32.1	32.7	34.6
40-44	42.1	41.3	40.3	39.0	37.6	35.9	33.8
45-49	43.0	43.5	43.4	43.2	42.7	42.4	36.2
50-54	38.3	39.3	40.3	41.3	42.3	43.0	42.4
55-59	36.7	36.6	36.6	36.8	37.4	38.0	42.9
60-64	40.6	38.7	37.6	36.8	36.1	35.8	37.4
65-69	33.7	36.6	38.2	38.7	39.1	39.1	34.7
70-74	25.5	26.0	27.0	28.6	30.1	31.7	36.9
75-79	20.4	20.9	21.7	22.3	22.8	23.0	28.8
80-84	15.4	15.8	16.0	16.3	16.5	16.9	19.4
85-89	9.8	9.9	10.1	10.2	10.6	10.9	12.6
90+	5.2	5.7	6.1	6.4	6.7	7.0	8.9
All ages	566.6	569.0	571.6	574.3	577.0	579.8	593.8

• The population of Worcestershire is projected to increase from 566,600 in 2011 to 579,800 in 2016, an increase of 13,300.
• The projected population by 2021 is 593,800, a projected rise of 27,300, slightly less than 5% on 2011 levels.
• Significant projected gains are especially prevalent in the 65-plus age groups. Smaller gains across the time-period are projected to be in the 25-34 and 50-59 age ranges.
• Projected losses are notable in the 15-24 and 40-49 age groups.

 

Broad Age Group Projection for Worcestershire (thousands)

Broad Age Group Projection for Worcestershire (thousands)

	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2021
0-17	114.7	114.7	115.1	115.4	115.7	116.1	120.1
18-64	341.7	339.4	337.6	336.3	335.5	335.1	332.3
65-plus	110.2	114.9	118.9	122.6	125.8	128.7	141.4
All Ages	566.6	569.0	571.6	574.3	577.0	579.8	593.8

• The 0-17 age group in Worcestershire is projected to increase between now and 2021. By 2021 the number of 0-17 year olds in Worcestershire is projected to be just over 120,000, a rise of 5,500 (almost 5%) on 2011 levels.

• The 65+ age group is projected to increase by over 31,000 (over 28%) between 2011 and 2021.

• In contrast, the number of people aged 18-64 has a projected decline of almost 9,500 between 2011 and 2021, representing a fall of almost 3%.

Critical Age Group Projection for Worcestershire (Thousands)

Critical Age Group Projection for Worcestershire (Thousands)

	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2021
0-4	31.1	31.8	32.5	33.2	33.9	34.3	32.8
5-15	69.3	69.0	68.7	68.5	68.5	68.9	74.6
18-24	44.4	44.2	43.5	42.7	41.8	40.8	36.9
75-plus	8.9	9.3	9.6	10.0	10.2	10.5	13.2
85-plus	2.6	2.7	2.8	2.9	3.0	3.1	3.8
All Ages	566.6	569.0	571.6	574.3	577.0	579.8	593.8

• The number of children aged 0-4 is projected to increase from 31,100 in 2011 to 32,800 in 2021, an rise of just over 5%.
  
• The 5-15 age group is projected to increase from 69,300 in 2011 to 74,600 in 2021, representing an increase of almost 8%.
  
• The 18-24 age group is projected to decline from 44,400 in 2011 to stand at around 36,900 in 2021, a decrease of 7,600 or just over 17%.
  
• In contrast, the 75-plus and 85-plus age groups are both projected significant increases over the 2011-21 period, with the 75-plus age group having a projected increase of 4,300 persons (48%), and the 85-plus age group a projected increase of 1,300 (49%).

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This page was last reviewed 24 May 2013 at 17:43.
The page is next due for review 20 November 2014.